In Guanacaste, January does more than mark the start of a new year. For generations, its first twelve days have been carefully observed through the tradition of Las Pintas, a cultural practice that reads each day as a reflection of the weather for the corresponding month ahead.
Based on observed conditions in the area during January 1–12, 2026, here is how the year ahead may unfold, as interpreted through this time-honored lens.
The month opened with warm, stable temperatures, moderate humidity, and mostly clear skies. This points to a January defined by steady heat, classic dry-season conditions, and generally comfortable days, with little disruption from rain.
Conditions remained warm and consistent, with slightly increased cloud cover but no significant precipitation. February may follow a similar rhythm to January, sunny and dry, with brief moments of cloudiness that soften the heat.
A slight dip in temperatures and a touch more variability suggest March could bring subtle changes. Expect continued warmth, but with occasional cloud cover that hints at seasonal transition without fully breaking the dry spell.
Clear skies and rising temperatures dominated this day. April is anticipated to be hot and bright, aligning with the heart of Guanacaste’s dry season, with long sunny days and minimal rainfall.
Stable heat continued, though humidity edged slightly higher. This could suggest a May that begins dry and warm, with the rainy season arriving gently rather than abruptly.
Warmer temperatures paired with subtle atmospheric shifts point to a June that feels heavier and more humid. Rain may begin to appear more regularly, though still balanced with sunshine.
Conditions evened out, with moderate temperatures and steady winds. July may offer a calmer rhythm within the rainy season, possibly reflecting the traditional veranillo—a brief midsummer break from persistent rains.
Increased cloud cover marked this day. August could bring more overcast skies and consistent moisture, offering cooler moments and a slower, more saturated landscape.
Sustained cloudiness and higher humidity suggest September may lean fully into the rainy season, with frequent showers and lush conditions across the region.
A return to brighter conditions stands out. October may bring welcomed breaks in rain, with clearer days offering balance during one of the wettest months of the year.
Stable temperatures and improving conditions suggest November as a transitional month. Rainfall may gradually taper off, signaling the slow return toward the dry season.
Noticeable wind activity closed the cycle. December may arrive with stronger seasonal winds, clearer skies, and the familiar freshness that marks the end of the year in Guanacaste.
Beyond the charts and daily observations, workers from La Estancia who are Guanacaste locals shared that based on what they observed during the first days of January, it seems as if the 2026 rainy season may be milder than usual, with shorter periods of sustained rainfall and a less intense winter overall.
According to their experience, when January’s Pintas show stable temperatures, limited rainfall, and only moderate cloud cover, it often points to a compressed rainy season, where rains arrive later, fall in shorter bursts, and retreat earlier than expected. If this interpretation holds true, 2026 could bring a reduced época lluviosa, with more dry intervals and a gentler rhythm to the wet months.